Automated daily market scan — June 25, 2026. Educational analysis, not financial advice.
Macro Context — June 25, 2026
- DXY: 🟢 -0.05% — weak dollar — supports gold & indices
- VIX: 🟢 -3.38% — calm market — risk-on
- US10Y: 🟢 -0.27% — yields down — supports indices
Market Commentary
The macro landscape on June 25, 2026, paints a starkly risk-off tone. The DXY sits nearly flat (-0.05%), offering no clear directional bias for dollar-denominated assets, while the VIX drops 3.38%—a deceptive calm that often precedes volatility expansion. The US10-year yield declined 0.27%, signaling a flight to safety as traders rotate out of riskier exposure. This combination of a stable dollar, falling yields, and compressed volatility suggests markets are pricing in a broader slowdown, amplifying the bearish momentum seen in commodity and currency pairs.
The most striking setup is WTI Oil, with an RSI of 11.1—deeply oversold—and a bearish score of 6/8, while losing 1.01%. This is not merely technical exhaustion; it reflects a fundamental demand shock, likely tied to weaker global manufacturing data. When a traditional inflation hedge like oil trades at these extremes, the market is signaling that recession fears outweigh supply concerns. The next 24-48 hours are critical: any bounce from these levels would confirm a liquidity grab, but a failure to hold support could trigger a cascade. Silver (RSI 23.0) echoes a similar oversold narrative, though its -1.16% drop suggests the selling is less aggressive than oil’s.
What to watch: A potential VIX spike above 15 would confirm the breakdown in risk appetite. For ICT/SMC traders, the key is to monitor price action around the DXY’s 104.50 pivot and the US10Y’s 4.10% level. A dip in yields below 4.05% would reinforce the bearish bias on commodities, while a sudden VIX expansion could validate the setup in WTI Oil as a reversal opportunity—but only if price reclaims the 68.00 zone with volume. Avoid chasing extremes; let the market sweep liquidity before committing.
Top 3 Setups — Diamond Scanner
Ranked by confluence score: trend alignment (MA20/MA50) + RSI momentum + volatility.
Silver — BEARISH (Score: 6/8)
| Price | 57.38 (▼1.16%) |
| RSI(14) | 23.0 |
| MA20 / MA50 | 68.3767 / 73.9672 |
| Bias | SHORT bias |
Confluence signals:
- Price < MA20 < MA50 (strong downtrend)
- RSI 23.0 (oversold — potential reversal up)
- Strong daily move (-1.16%)
WTI Oil — BEARISH (Score: 6/8)
| Price | 69.63 (▼1.01%) |
| RSI(14) | 11.1 |
| MA20 / MA50 | 84.1045 / 92.3826 |
| Bias | SHORT bias |
Confluence signals:
- Price < MA20 < MA50 (strong downtrend)
- RSI 11.1 (oversold — potential reversal up)
- Strong daily move (-1.01%)
EURUSD — BEARISH (Score: 5/8)
| Price | 1.136 (▼0.17%) |
| RSI(14) | 22.1 |
| MA20 / MA50 | 1.1544 / 1.1636 |
| Bias | SHORT bias |
Confluence signals:
- Price < MA20 < MA50 (strong downtrend)
- RSI 22.1 (oversold — potential reversal up)
All Assets Scanned
| Asset | Group | Bias | Score | RSI | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silver | Commodities | BEARISH | 6/8 | 23.0 | -1.16% |
| WTI Oil | Commodities | BEARISH | 6/8 | 11.1 | -1.01% |
| EURUSD | Forex | BEARISH | 5/8 | 22.1 | -0.17% |
| GBPUSD | Forex | BEARISH | 5/8 | 29.6 | -0.19% |
| USDJPY | Forex | BULLISH | 5/8 | 77.9 | +0.13% |
| AUDUSD | Forex | BEARISH | 5/8 | 20.5 | -0.24% |
| USDCAD | Forex | BULLISH | 5/8 | 91.4 | +0.19% |
| Ethereum | Crypto | BEARISH | 5/8 | 47.0 | +1.60% |
| Gold | Commodities | BEARISH | 5/8 | 27.0 | +0.27% |
| DAX | Indices | BULLISH | 4/8 | 53.4 | +0.67% |
| Dow Jones | Indices | BULLISH | 3/8 | 60.1 | +0.35% |
| Bitcoin | Crypto | BEARISH | 3/8 | 42.2 | +0.96% |
| S&P 500 | Indices | NEUTRAL | 0/8 | 40.6 | -0.10% |
| NASDAQ 100 | Indices | NEUTRAL | 0/8 | 41.3 | -0.43% |
The ICT Entry Hierarchy
- Structure — identify the primary trend direction (MA20/MA50)
- POI — locate an Order Block or Fair Value Gap in the trend direction
- Draw on Liquidity — where is smart money likely targeting?
- Trigger — extreme RSI + price action confirmation
- Entry — enter with stop-loss beyond the most recent swing
Risk Disclaimer
Trading involves significant risk of loss. This analysis is generated
automatically for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Never trade with money you cannot
afford to lose. Always do your own research.
Generated automatically by the CommotiAI Diamond Scanner pipeline | June 25, 2026
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